I'm continuing to work on editing Bayesian evaluation for the likelihood of Christ's resurrection. I'm still editing things to bring things in line with a full Bayesian analysis with an alternate hypothesis - essentially, the "x =" vs. "x >" issue.
I'm continuing to work on editing Bayesian evaluation for the likelihood of Christ's resurrection. I've made some more changes towards making the "x = " argument instead of "x > ", and I made some outlines to that effect.
I'm continuing to work on editing Bayesian evaluation for the likelihood of Christ's resurrection. I've made some changes towards the "x = " vs. "x > " change, and also made some clarification on probabilities vs. odds.
I'm continuing to work on editing Bayesian evaluation for the likelihood of Christ's resurrection. I've pretty much decided on switching to the "x = " arguments, instead of going with the "x > " form. I think it'll be cleaner, with less back-and-forth and explaining of the various subtleties. As a bonus I may get a […]
I'm continuing to work on editing Bayesian evaluation for the likelihood of Christ's resurrection. I added a graph to the section on "Assigning numerical x values". I'm also considering a fairly major restructuring, to do the Bayes factor at x = instead of x > 6 from the beginning.
I'm continuing to work on editing Bayesian evaluation for the likelihood of Christ's resurrection. I made many changes to the graph describing the "meeting" vs. "exceeding" condition, and moved and expanded the related text.
I'm continuing to work on editing Bayesian evaluation for the likelihood of Christ's resurrection. I made a graph describing the "meeting" vs. "exceeding" condition for a Bayes factor, under the "Using the historical data to construct the skeptic's distribution" section, and added a little bit more text there.
I'm continuing to work on editing Bayesian evaluation for the likelihood of Christ's resurrection. I've adjusted a few more things to more precisely state the nature of the Bayes factors in computing the "skeptic's distribution". I now need to add two more graphs: one for more clarification on the x-axis in the "Assigning numerical x values" […]
I'm continuing to work on editing Bayesian evaluation for the likelihood of Christ's resurrection. I've adjusted things based on the new x-axis down to "Defining "outliers"". I still need to add a graph for more clarification on the x-axis in the "Assigning numerical x values" section.
I'm continuing to work on editing Bayesian evaluation for the likelihood of Christ's resurrection. I've changed a number of things on "Assigning numerical x values", and I plan on next adding a graph for more clarification.