NaClhv

Theology, philosophy, math, science, and random other things
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  

Bayesian evaluation for the likelihood of Christ's resurrection (edit 14)

I'm continuing to work on editing Bayesian evaluation for the likelihood of Christ's resurrection. I filled in the section titled "The frequency of lies" with new material. Things are still edited down to the section heading "One in a million events happen every month". That section will probably be filled in next week.

Bayesian evaluation for the likelihood of Christ's resurrection (edit 13)

I'm continuing to work on editing Bayesian evaluation for the likelihood of Christ's resurrection. Things are edited down to the section heading "One in a million events happen every month". I'll still need to rearrange the material here a little bit, along with the table of contents, after writing in the new materials and smoothing out […]

Bayesian evaluation for the likelihood of Christ's resurrection (edit 12)

I'm continuing to work on editing Bayesian evaluation for the likelihood of Christ's resurrection. Things are edited down to the section heading "More examples establishing the Bayes factor of a human testimony." There's also some rearrangement of the materials. I'm taking additional care around here because the dependence question is being addressed here.

Bayesian evaluation for the likelihood of Christ's resurrection (edit 11)

I'm continuing to work on editing Bayesian evaluation for the likelihood of Christ's resurrection. Things are edited down to the beginning of chapter 2.

Bayesian evaluation for the likelihood of Christ's resurrection (edit 10)

I'm continuing to work on editing Bayesian evaluation for the likelihood of Christ's resurrection. This week, I switched around the order between considering James's and Paul's testimony, by placing Paul's stronger testimony first. That way, there's no doubt that this testimony carries the odds over to the side of being probable. Things are still edited down […]

Bayesian evaluation for the likelihood of Christ's resurrection (edit 9)

I'm continuing to work on editing Bayesian evaluation for the likelihood of Christ's resurrection. This week, I edited down to the section starting "Conclusion: there is in fact far more than enough evidence to overcome the prior. (part 4)"

Bayesian evaluation for the likelihood of Christ's resurrection (edit 8)

I'm continuing to work on editing Bayesian evaluation for the likelihood of Christ's resurrection. This week, I edited down to the section starting "The evidence for a resurrection - is it enough? (part 4)"

Bayesian evaluation for the likelihood of Christ's resurrection (edit 7)

I'm continuing to work on editing Bayesian evaluation for the likelihood of Christ's resurrection. This week, I made some "style guide" type changes to the body of the text: "Bayes' theorem", "Bayes' rule", and "Bayes factor". Incidentally, I prefer "Jesus's" to "Jesus'" in indicating the possessive case for Jesus, because I think it agrees better with […]

Bayesian evaluation for the likelihood of Christ's resurrection (edit 6)

I'm continuing to work on editing Bayesian evaluation for the likelihood of Christ's resurrection. This week, I continued editing, down to the beginning of "Double checking the Bayes' factor: Lottery winner" section, smoothing over the transitions from switching parts 1 and 2 around.

Bayesian evaluation for the likelihood of Christ's resurrection (edit 5)

I'm continuing to work on editing Bayesian evaluation for the likelihood of Christ's resurrection. This week, I edited the first part of the post - in particular, I made the decision to never square the initial prior probability. The argument is plenty strong as it is, and I do eventually end up using the original un-squared […]
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